Wednesday, February 10, 2016

An open letter to Bernie Sanders supporters

         So you are ready for the world to, ‘feel the Bern,’ and want to send him to the White House.  I completely understand the attraction.  He seems to be the one politician on the trail who believes what is coming out of his mouth.  (Yes I believe everyone else is jockeying for power, or their own egos.)  Before you get too overly critical of anything I would say here please realize a couple things about me.  I am a self-described, ‘bleeding heart liberal,’ and in college in VT in the1980's, actually voted for Sanders when he ran for congress. 

           You’d better be ready to bring Howard Dean back NOW!

           Howard Dean yelled, ‘Heee Haw,’ at a political rally in 2004 and the democratic establishment ran him out of town like a crazy person.  What was really sad is we kept telling ourselves we wanted different, and then we nominated a DC insider, and lost.  But that wasn’t the end for Howard Dean, because he was different, he had a ground game, and a 50 state strategy that gave the Democrats the House and Senate 2 years later.  Now you say you want Bernie Sanders to bring single payer healthcare, infrastructure spending, Wall Street reform, and free college.  You’d better call Howard Dean and put together a plan to win majorities in both houses, possibly bordering on super majorities.  (In the next 8 months.)  A Sander’s agenda, as he lays it out, will not even make it out of the parking lot of the Whitehouse if you are not willing to get him the support he needs in the House and Senate.  If you are willing to support every democratic member, and un-seat two-thirds of the republican members, and senators, a Sanders agenda would stand a chance.  So call Howard Dean and see if he’s busy. 
   
               Politics is a game with multiple teams on the field at once:

             Imagine if you will a Superbowl with 6 or 7 teams on the field at once.  That’s precisely what politics in DC is like.  You have the Whitehouse, the House, the Senate, K-Street, each political party, and last but not least, the people.  At any given time at least 3 of these ‘teams’ are fighting to try to score at once.  What made a Kennedy, a Reagan, a Clinton, and sometimes even an Obama special is largely misunderstood.  Looking back, people say to get this or that passed these Presidents got different factions to work together all at once.  Not true.  What they did was got ‘other teams’ to sit down so we can actually score.  At any given time at least 2 or 3 of the above listed teams are going to oppose what you are trying to do.  Two or three teams are ‘with you’, but always seem to be moving in different directions.  Conventional wisdom is that you must have the political capital to win them over, and moving ‘your way.’  What you need is the political capital to get them to ‘sit this one out.’  So you’re only fighting a war on 2 or 3 fronts, and not having to wrestle the ball from your own teammates.  If you’re going to send Bernie to the Whitehouse you had better be ready to pressure all interest groups and government officials pretty much constantly so his agenda has a fighting chance. 


               The only things in DC that ever need to be paid for are social programs:

             Stop telling me how much each new Joint Strike Fighter costs, they are going to keep making it not matter who protests, please stop complaining about it.  The stupid thing, which the generals don’t want by-the-way, is made in over 30 congressional districts, so it’s here forever.  Yes, I know tax cuts were paid for by going into Al Gore’s ‘lock-box’ raiding social security, and 2 wars, and what will end up being six trillion dollars in spending was put on the Chinese credit card.  If you want a COLA for social security, it needs to be paid for.  An extension of unemployment insurance, it needs to be paid for.  Increase in SNAP benefits, you’d better figure out how it will be paid for.  No one is going to touch defense spending, the only that might happen is it will increases by less, but it will increase.  No one is going to raise taxes on the 1%, or even the top 10% to pay for anything, so stop thinking they will.  If you want to ‘win’ this argument you’re going to have to go into an economics argument about the circular flow of money, and show how infrastructure and social spending benefits a community two and three fold.  But you had better figure out how you’re going to pay for it, because they are social programs, and according to Washington must be paid for.

              ‘It’s the economy stupid,’ won’t work for Bernie:

           The very second he put the word Socialist in his title; Democratic Socialist, he stopped arguing about what Americans think is the ‘known’ economy.  (The last sentence is not true, I wanted to give you a preview of what the general election will look like.)  We have been sold the concept for years that we are a purely capitalistic country, and the likes of Bill Gates and Steve Jobs could not happen in a socialist nations.  (Also completely not true, ask Richard Branson.) First off, we have had socialistic aspects to our economy for 70-plus years.  (Just ask the bankers on Wall Street in 2008.)  When we let the free market take care of itself the Great Depression went on for a decade, but when the government intervened on the side of the bankers, (2008) they recovered in three.  That is not how American’s view ourselves, we are under the impression the land of opportunity cannot work with socialism.    The minute society has an obligation to help another; we are robbing opportunity from someone.  If you want Bernie’s economic message to ring true throughout the country, you are going to have to convince people you can simultaneously help the less fortunate, and increase opportunity.  This is a tough sell; we’ve always been told it’s one or the other. 

               Let’s be clear here, if given the opportunity to vote for Bernie, I am going to. If you are among those who would like a political revolution, be ready to fight for that revolution for the next eight years straight. Be ready to oust congressman, senators, and tell K-Street no more. Otherwise, electing Bernie will be a political exercise in futility and frustration.